From 47629fa4ae0c8b83a330646853e0ced50f090305 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Lukas Werner Date: Thu, 31 Mar 2022 09:40:22 -0700 Subject: [PATCH] Finish amsco homework --- apgov/Measuring_Public_Opinion.md | 77 +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 77 insertions(+) create mode 100644 apgov/Measuring_Public_Opinion.md diff --git a/apgov/Measuring_Public_Opinion.md b/apgov/Measuring_Public_Opinion.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..85d76a2 --- /dev/null +++ b/apgov/Measuring_Public_Opinion.md @@ -0,0 +1,77 @@ +# Measuring Public Opinion + +## Public Opinion Polls +polls that guage attitudes on issues or support for candidates in an ellection in a cross-section of the population + +## Benchmark Polls +poll used by political campaign to figure out what the candidate's intentions are + +## Tracking Polls +measure how prospective voters feel about an isussue + +## Entrance Polls +conducted outside poilling places and are sued to gague election day and predicte elections +done before people vote + +## Exit Polls + +conducted outside poilling places and are sued to gague election day and predicte elections +done after people finish their votes + +## Approval Ratings +used to tell presidential approval + +## Focus Groups +small group of citizens 10 - 40 people to find out more minute detailes + +## Questions +questions need to be specifically framed and phrased to avoid skewing the results + +## Sampling Techniques +different ways to assure an acurate poll + +## Representative Sample +a group of people meant to represent a larger group in question + +## Universe +the large group in question + +## Random Sample +everone being surveyed must have an equal chance of being surveyed + +## Random-digit dialing +just calling randopm numbners in an area to attempt to survey people + +## Weighting/Stratificaiton +making sure demographic groups are properly represented + +## Think as a Political Scientist +Study the information below from December 2019 and answer the questions that follow. + +1. What additional information might make this table more useful? +knowing what type of poll it might be especially between the different polls + +2. What might explain the different results among the various polls? +the different ways of results might be due to different groups that got polled and or different polling techniques that would have highlighted diffent trends + +3. What conclusions might be drawn from this information? +that biden has roughly a 9.3 lead across all the diffent polling groups + +## Sampling error +difference between two different polls because of different people and sampling groups + +## Margin of Error +another name for sampling error + +## Non Attitudes +people may be uninformed or do not want to share views. or just do not have strong opinions + +## Human Bias and Push Polling +how the interviewer contacts and interacts can impact the poll + +## Essential Question: What are the elements of a scientific poll and how do these elements impact elections and policy? + +1. Elements of Scientific Poll +The poll must be using a diverse and random set of the uniuverse so that the margin of error is lowered as much as possible +2. Possible Effects on Decsion-Making +doing this might swkew the data results and points